Smart People - BRAVO JULIET

Recent and Open Predictions

The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century

predicted Yes on 4/26/2022. This question is open

By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.

predicted No - it will continue to be celebrated on October 31st on 4/26/2022. This question is open

In rationalist circles AI Risk/Alignment will be memory holed and the concept will shift to generalized existential threats from human factors.

predicted Yes - it will be memory holed and forgotten on 7/8/2022. This question is open

Closed Predictions

Elon Musk will offer Twitter employees a Coinbase style deal before the end of July

predicted Yes on 4/26/2022 which was not correct

Will the state of Georgia pass a bill to legalize marijuana by 2022?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will the Crimean Peninsula be held by Ukraine on January 1, 2023?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will the Russian military occupy any part of the Donbas region on January 1st 2023?

predicted Yes on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will Russian troops enter any part of Poland, for any period of time in 2022?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will China attempt any military action against Taiwan in 2022?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will the draft of the Supreme Court opinion leaked on 5/2/2022 be largely accurate?

predicted Yes on 5/3/2022 which was correct

Will the US Government succesfully block Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter before the end of 2022?

predicted No on 5/3/2022 which was correct

Will Johnny Depp win his lawsuit against Amber Heard

predicted Yes - he will win his lawsuit on 5/3/2022 which was correct

Will Herschel Walker win the Georgia senate primary on May 24th, 2022?

predicted Yes - he will win the primary on 5/4/2022 which was correct

Will Herschel Walker be replaced in the 2022 Georgia Senate race by September 15th, for any reason?

predicted No - he will not be replaced on 7/8/2022 which was correct

Texas will institute mandatory statewide mass shooter training for all law enforcement officers by the August 1, 2022

predicted No - they will not institute mandatory training on 7/8/2022 which was correct

Who will win the 2022 Georgia Senate Race?

predicted Herschel Walker on 10/4/2022 which was not correct

Who will win the 2022 Georgia Governor's Race?

predicted Brian Kemp on 10/4/2022 which was correct

Submitted Questions

BRAVO JULIET hasn't submitted any questions to be answered.

Back to Smart People